China Railway (China) Performance

601390 Stock   5.50  0.06  1.08%   
China Railway has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.48, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, China Railway's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding China Railway is expected to be smaller as well. China Railway Group right now shows a risk of 2.05%. Please confirm China Railway Group standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if China Railway Group will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in China Railway Group are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, China Railway is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow196.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-82.3 B
  

China Railway Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  543.00  in China Railway Group on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7.00  from holding China Railway Group or generate 1.29% return on investment over 90 days. China Railway Group is generating 0.0417% of daily returns and assumes 2.0472% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 18% of stocks are less volatile than China, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Railway is expected to generate 2.7 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.74 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

China Railway Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.50 90 days 5.50 
about 53.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Railway to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 53.62 (This China Railway Group probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Railway has a beta of 0.48. This suggests as returns on the market go up, China Railway average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding China Railway Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally China Railway Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   China Railway Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for China Railway

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Railway Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.455.507.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.505.557.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.405.447.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.145.546.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Railway. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Railway's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Railway's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Railway Group.

China Railway Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Railway is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Railway's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Railway Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Railway within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

China Railway Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Railway for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Railway Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Railway Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

China Railway Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Railway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Railway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments262.1 B

China Railway Fundamentals Growth

China Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of China Railway, and China Railway fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on China Stock performance.

About China Railway Performance

By analyzing China Railway's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into China Railway's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if China Railway has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if China Railway has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about China Railway Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about China Railway for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for China Railway Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Railway Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Evaluating China Railway's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate China Railway's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing China Railway's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether China Railway's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining China Railway's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating China Railway's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of China Railway's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of China Railway's stock. These opinions can provide insight into China Railway's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating China Railway's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact China Railway's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for China Stock analysis

When running China Railway's price analysis, check to measure China Railway's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Railway is operating at the current time. Most of China Railway's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Railway's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Railway's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Railway to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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